Peninsular MY
🌧
32°C
245mm MTD
NormalSabah
☁
31°C
320mm MTD
CautionSarawak
⛅
30°C
298mm MTD
NormalSumatra
☀
33°C
210mm MTD
WatchKalimantan
⛅
32°C
265mm MTD
Normal7-Day Rainfall Forecastby Region (mm)
PM MalaysiaSabahSarawakSumatraKalimantan
Rainfall Deviation vs Normal(30 Days)
| Region | Deviation | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Peninsular Malaysia | +5% | Normal |
| Sabah | −18% | Caution |
| Sarawak | +8% | Normal |
| Sumatra | −22% | Watch |
| Kalimantan | +3% | Normal |
Monthly Rainfall Trend(mm)
Normal2026
Weather Impact on Production
⚠ Sabah
Dry spell may boost near-term FFB output. Monitor if deficit extends beyond 4 weeks.
⚠ Sumatra
Below-normal rainfall. Lagged yield risk in Q3 if deficit persists.
✓ Kalimantan
Normal to slightly above rainfall — supportive conditions for sustained output.
✓ PM Malaysia
Conditions normal. No material impact on FFB expected near-term.
La Niña / El Niño Outlook
Current ENSO StateLa Niña Watch
ONI Index−0.4
Q3 2026 ForecastLa Niña 55%
BOM Confidence55%
ENSO-neutral to weak La Niña favoured through Q3 2026. Elevated rainfall risk for Kalimantan and Sarawak Jul–Sep.
Production Impact
La Niña typically brings above-normal rainfall to SE Asia — bullish for long-term FFB yields but may cause short-term harvest disruptions.
Regional Temperaturevs 30yr Average
| Region | Temp | vs Avg |
|---|---|---|
| Peninsular MY | 32°C | +0.5°C |
| Sabah | 31°C | +0.2°C |
| Sarawak | 30°C | −0.1°C |
| Sumatra | 33°C | +1.1°C |
| Kalimantan | 32°C | +0.3°C |
Heat Stress Note
Above-average temperatures in Sumatra (+1.1°C) may increase water stress on palms during dry spells.